Known in Korea as the 외환위기 (foreign exchange crisis), or colloqualliry as the IMF때(IMF time), the Asian Financial Crisis was a period of swift currency depreciation that caused the collapse of financial markets in many countries in East Asia in the late 1990's. This marked an important period in Korea's economic history, in between its emergence as one of the "Four East Asian Dragons" and its contemporary state.
Causes
Its primary cause was capital flight. This occurs when foreign investors suddenly lose confidence in a country's economy and pull out their assets to invest elsewhere. This floods the exchange markets with the currency, resulting in a swift depreciation. Many Asian countries tried to prop up their currencies by spending their foreign capital reserves; some, including South Korea, nearly bankrupted themselves in the process.
The crisis actually began in Southeast Asia but spread to include every Asian economy with significant foreign investment.
The American economist Paul Krugman theorizes that the collapse of the financial markets was due to the rapid increase in capital investment over the preceding decades without substantial increases in total factor productivity. One of the major English-language books about the episode, The Chastening, blames it on an economic phenomenon called "moral hazard", in which people make extremely risky investments using money they aren't responsible for. Bad investments had been made by foreign and domestic investors, encouraged by the possibility of high returns and a general culture of corruption which quickly became known as "crony capitalism"; often this meant investors had little choice but to invest in ventures driven by nepotism or corruption if they wanted to also invest in sounder enterprises.
However, there are many people who believe the crisis to have been engineered so as to force companies to accept the stringent conditions attached to IMF aid, such as liberalizing their economies, cutting taxes and government spending (especially on the welfare state), and generally making life easier for foreign companies and investors.
Effects
The economic recession that followed the collapse of the financial crisis caused much unemployment in the short term. Several countries including South Korea spent virtually all of their foreign currency reserves in trying to protect their currencies, which prior to the crisis were not allowed to have their value governed solely by market forces.
After a period of adjustment, policy reform, and anti-corruption drives effecting both Chaebol and government officials often forced by the IMF, some of the economies emerged from the crisis and continued to grow, while others have yet to shake off the economic depression. Today the won is as strong as it was at the beginning of the crisis and South Korea's foreign currency reserves are significantly greater than they had been.
Effects in Korea
During the crisis, various citizens movements sprang up to help the country pull together and move through to better times.
- 실직자 배식 운동 - Feeding the Unemployed Movement
- Social organizations such as churches set up lines to hand out free food to the unemployed who were struck by the enonomic recession.
- 금모으기 운동 - Gold Collection Movement
- The government encouraged citizens to sell their hard currency, such as gold in exchange for Korean Won. This then allowed the government to purchase foreign currency at discount rates compared to purchasing it with the rapidly depreciating Won.
Many salarymen were fired but didn't tell their families, and continued to get dressed and leave the house in the morning with their briefcases. Most of them spent the day looking for work or commiserating together in parks; a number of them committed suicide when the truth had to come out.
The Role of the IMF
The International Monetary Fund played a role in stabilizing the financial markets of the region. It set conditions of tighter fiscal and business policies in order to introduce loan packages to bail out the governments affected. The IMF regime is often referred to as "shock therapy" because it is quite severe and involves significant cuts in spending to help the poor. In several countries including South Korea, the IMF had practical control over many economic decisions including tax rates, interest rates set by central banks, etc.
The association of the IMF with this period of hard economic times is so strong that many Koreans refer to this time simply as IMF, and many blame it on the IMF outright or believe it to have part of a plot to force Korea to allow foreign companies to make greater profits.
Statement at the Conclusion of the 2008 Article IV Consultation Mission to Korea
Press Release No.08/174
July 11, 2008
The following statement was issued in Seoul on June 24, 2008, after the conclusion of an International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff mission to Korea for the 2008 Article IV Consultation:
"IMF staff conducted the annual Article IV review of the Korean economy during June 12-24. We would like to thank our Korean counterparts for the productive and open engagement.
"Korea's economy is facing challenging global circumstances. While exports have shown resilience, the global growth slowdown will likely limit further export gains and constrain investment during the rest of the year. High global food and fuel prices are expected to weigh on consumption and are contributing to rapidly rising prices. As a result, growth is expected to moderate to 4.1 percent this year, before picking up in 2009, while weaker domestic demand and stabilizing commodity prices should help slow inflation later this year. This outlook is subject to substantial uncertainty, with the possibility remaining of a deeper global slowdown, a return to more volatile global financial conditions, or still higher oil prices.
"In this context, macroeconomic policies should focus for now on controlling inflation. In particular, ensuring that inflation expectations remain well-anchored is critical for sustained strong economic growth. Should inflation begin to moderate and the economy remain soft in the coming months, there may be scope for more accommodative macroeconomic policies. Korea's flexible exchange rate regime, with intervention limited to smoothing excessive volatility, has served the country well in the past and continues to be appropriate.
"While the Korean financial system remains healthy, the ongoing global financial turmoil has raised some modest concerns. International credit market stresses have underlined that banks reliant on wholesale funding may be exposed to greater liquidity risk. Korean banks are beginning to diversify their funding sources and supervisors are increasingly focused on limiting such risks. International experience suggests that enhanced contingency planning would also help. Bank loan quality is strong but an economic slowdown could reveal some vulnerabilities, particularly in small- and medium-sized enterprise (SME) lending, which merits continued close attention. Short-term external debt has risen sharply in recent years, as a counterpart to hedging activity, and more recently, with foreign purchases of sovereign bonds. This debt should be monitored, but its sources and uses are very different from those a decade ago, and risks remain moderate.
"Looking ahead, structural changes to the financial sector will present both challenges and opportunities. Increased financial sector competition, in light of the legal framework taking effect in 2009, should contribute to growth, but will require financial oversight to meet new regulatory challenges, including risks from more complex institutions and products.
"The government appropriately aims to address structural challenges to Korea's impressive growth record, including through deregulation, privatization, and tax cuts. Plans for any tax cuts should be in the context of a broader tax reform plan that concretely addresses long-run fiscal pressures, notably those associated with an aging population."
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